WATO Thursday Night Preview by Matt Higgins 

IMG_0260.jpg

New York Giants @ New England Patriots

41 Point Over/Under, NE -14


The 2nd grade tackle football team I coach just lost to the best team in the league 71-0.  We had 2 first downs and no defensive stops.  Still, there’s a chance the 2nd grade Spring Lake Park Panthers might put up a better fight this week than the New York Football Giants.  


They Giants are coming off a bad beat at home against the Vikings.  Also, they will be with out most of their offense.  Saquon Barkley, Evan Engram, Sterling Shepard, and Wayne Gallman will all miss this game.  That leaves the offense in the hands of Daniel Jones, Golden Tate, and something named John Hilliman or Eli Penny.  The Giants are going against the number one defense in football.  The Giants abandoned the run against the Vikings last week and the Patriots have only given up 6 runs over 10 yards all season.  


The Patriots are going against a defense on the ropes.  The Giants are giving up 130 yards a game on the ground and Sony “PS4” Michel finally showed signs of life last week.  The Giants are also 5th worst against the pass despite having some house-hold names in the secondary.  Phillip Dorsett is likely to miss the game leaving Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon as high upside fantasy plays this week.  


FANTASY FOOTBALL STARTS:

Edelman, Gordon, Michel, Brady with confidence.  

White and Burkhead if you need them. 


The story line for Golden Tate, as the last healthy man standing in garbage time, is a good one.  He is the only Giant we would consider this week, but he’s going against a team that hasn’t given up a passing touchdown all season and should only be viewed as a high upside play.  



Saquon Barkley (Ankle), Sterling Shepard (Concussion), Evan Engram (Knee), and Wayne Gallman (Concussion) ruled Out for the Giants. 


Week 4 Thursday Night Preview

thumbnail.jpg

By: Matt Higgins

This week should be the first descent TNF game of the season.  Also, lots of fantasy action to follow in the first game available for free stream to all amazon prime members.

The 1-2 Eagles travel to Lambeau with their season on the line.  They will be 4.5-point underdogs as they face the 3-0 packers.

Last week the Packers beat a Broncos team that showed up to play but couldn’t protect the football.  The Packer’s offense is yet to hit on all cylinders, but their defense sure is showing up with 6 sacks and by creating multiple turnovers.  Devante Adams put up his second “dud” in three games as Scantling lead the way with 99 yards and a touchdown.  On the ground Jamal Williams is making a case for being the running back to own in Green Bay.  He outperformed Aaron Jones by receiving more carries, gaining more yards, and averaging 3 yards a carry more than Aaron Jones.  Jones saved his day by getting in the end zone but being out touched and targeted makes Jones a good guy to trade away if someone in your league is sleeping or wearing cheese on their head.

The Eagles found a way to lose to a bad Lions team.  Miles Sanders had the best game of his young career by putting up 57 yards and a TD on the ground.  More impressively, he led the team in receiving by accumulating 73 yards in the air.  Maybe a Jones owner could move him for Miles Sanders?  You know how WATO loves running backs that catch the football.  It should be said that Sproles played 27 snaps, sanders 26, and Jordan Howard had 25 snaps.  So, clearly workload is still a concern, but his stock is on the rise.  Nelson Agholor caught 2 touchdowns with Jeffery and Jackson out.  Ertz has 64 yards but I’m sure his owners hoped for more.

Aaron Rodgers fantasy value is capped by the much-improved Packers defense.  He just hasn’t found himself in a shootout and it’s effecting his fantasy value.  WATO has him outside of the top 5 this week as the packers have yet to put up 30 points in a game.  It should be mentioned that the Eagles are yielding a ton of yards through the air and Ronald Darby is not expected to play

Devonte Adams caught all his targets last week; the problem is that he just isn’t getting enough targets.  Adams owners have been disappointed thus far, but it’s only because he hasn’t found the end zone.  This is the week where he does, and he might be the top receiver in our rankings.

Jimmy Graham gutted it out last week but why?  He’s questionable to play and should be avoided if he does.

Martez Valdez Scantling is the #2 for the packers.  Allison had a horrendous game last week and Scantling had some key 3rd down drops of his own.  We put him with the likes of Calvin Ridley, josh Gordon, and Marvin Jones as serviceable #2s to start this week.

Aaron Jones and Jamal Williams should both be avoided.  The Eagles are very good against the run.  The 50/50 split, matchup, and suspect production make both assets to avoid.

Carson Wentz joins Rodgers as a back half started this week.  The Packers have been a stout defense, but Wentz continues to put his team in a position to win.  He throws for touchdowns, he avoids picks, and is as consistent as any signal caller

Alshon Jeffery is going to play this week......we think.  It’s going to be hard to start him this week considering his health and should be avoided if possible.  His presence will cast a cloud over Nelson Agholor who seems to excel only in his absence.  WATO would prefer Agholor to Jeffery if they both suit up.

Zack Ertz is playing the stingiest TE defense in football so keep that in mind when you start this target monster with confine this week.

WAIVER WIRE WEEK 4

thumbnail.jpg

QB

Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones looked the part in week 3, and it looks like he will be the quarterback moving forward for the Giants. Unfortunately, he won’t get to play Tampa Bay every week but he’s a definite improvement from what they had. Saquon being out does hurt the offense all around, but the Giants will have to rely on the pass quite a bit. I don’t think Wayne Gallman is any kind of special talent, and it wouldn’t surprise me if the Giants brought in another running back. Jones gets Washington this week but then his schedule gets harder with Minnesota and New England. He’s a matchup dependent streamer at this point but, he has the talent to pass his way into QB2 status.

Jacoby Brissett

We talked about Brissett in our match up show and picked him to “beat the odds” being ranked QB19 for week 3. He played great against Atlanta, throwing for 310 yards and 2 scores.  He gets another favorable matchup in week 4 vs Oakland at home. I like him to finish as a solid QB2 in this contest, so stream him if you need a solid play!

RB

Wayne Gallman Jr.

Saquon Barkley is dealing with a high ankle sprain, and it looks like Gallman is the back to own for the Giants moving forward.  Gallman won’t come close to Barkley production.  In his rookie year he averaged under 3 yards a carry and hasn’t impressed much since then. It also would not surprise me if the Giants bring in a FA running back.  In the end I think this backfield ends up splitting between Gallman and whoever they bring in, making the upside for this play mediocre at best. A lot of people will be wasting their FAAB on Gallman this week, my recommendation is to let them do it and keep yours.

Darrel Williams

The narrative going into the week was Damien Williams was out, and McCoy was banged up.  Darwin Thompson hype was again at an all time high and everyone said he was going to get another look. Then Mr. Darrel Williams stole the show and ended up leading the KC backfield in touches.  McCoy did play but tweaked his ankle late.  Darrel is the obvious “handcuff” to own as it looks like he has earned the trust of Andy Reid.  Even if the other backs are healthy, Darrel isn’t a bad back to take a flier on.

WR

Phillip Dorsett

Antonio Brown is gone, and this left the door open for Dorsett.  He saw seven targets from Brady, catching 6 of them with a touchdown. Edelman left the game with an injury and his week 4 status is up in the air. The Patriots are looking like the Patriots of old and seem to want to pass the ball down field again. Dorsett is a solid WR3 with WR2 upside that can help you with Bye weeks coming up.

TE

Will Dissly

Dissly now has 3 touchdowns in the last two games!  The TE landscape is crap and if you can get Dissly in your lineup, he has great touchdown upside every week. In week 4 he gets the Cardinals who basically hand out touchdowns to TE’s when they walk out of the Locker room.  He saw 7 targets in Week 3 and I look for this to continue in Week 4.

Some other pickups I like if they are available in your leagues….Diontae Johnson, Preston Williams, D.J. Chark, Chris Herndon, Brian Hill.

 

WEEK 3 PODCAST PICKS

LJ.jpg
“God bless fantasy football. There are many things a man can do with his time… this is better than those things.” – Pete
From ‘The League’

Our week 3 show came out on Thursday, and here I sit on Friday with some already big news to talk about. I know you are shocked to hear this, but yes, it is about Antonio Brown. As you all know by now, he has been released by the Patriots.  It would be surprising to me if anyone takes a shot on him the rest of the year, but then again Tyreek Hill is still playing football. If I owned Antonio Brown in any leagues (thankfully I don’t) I would be giving him away for a stick of gum if it was offered. This move gives Gordon, Edelman, Dorsett, and James White the bump back to where they were when the season started. I view Gordon and Edelman as high end WR2 plays the rest of the season.  Dorsett is still a matchup dependent WR3/4 for me, but he will have some big games. White gets a little bump up as he will get a few more targets that may have went to Brown.  So now that we are up to speed with the Patriots, lets look at the rest of the matchups we talked about in our week 3 podcast. Didn’t get to listen? No worries, we got you covered!

Here is a quick summary of the show and some of the guys we like to “beat the odds” this week! We will also hit on some studs that we think won’t live up to their ranking, who we are picking to go “against the odds”.  I do want to warn you that Garret did pick a kicker in one, but we won’t hold that against him. We will look back at these picks in week 4 so we can make fun of each other for our bad takes….but let’s be honest they are all probably great picks because it’s coming from WATO!

Matt’s Picks

Eagles vs Lions

“Against the odds” pick: Kerryon Johnson, RB19

“Beat the odds” pick: Marvin Jones WR39

Raiders vs Vikings

“Against the odds” pick: Dalvin Cook RB3

“Beat the odds” pick: Josh Jacobs RB23

Panthers vs Cardinals

“Against the odds” pick: Christian McCaffrey RB2

“Beat the odds” pick: David Johnson RB7

Bears vs Redskins

“Against the odds” pick: Adrian Peterson RB36

“Beat the odds” Pick: Terry McLaurin WR41

Garret’s Picks

Dolphins vs Cowboys

“Against the odds” pick: Brett yes Garret picked a kicker Maher K3

“Beat the odds” pick: Kenyan Drake RB38

Jets vs Patriots

“Against the odds” pick: James White RB32

“Beat the odds” pick: Josh Gordon WR29

Ravens vs Chiefs

“Against the odds” pick: Sammy Watkins WR9

“Beat the odds” pick: Justice Hill RB52

Steelers vs 49ers

“Against the odds” pick: Jimmy Garoppolo

“Beat the odds” pick: Mason Rudolph

Nick’s Picks

Bengals vs Bills

“Against the odds” pick: John Ross WR38

“Beat the odds” pick: Josh Allen QB8

Falcons vs Colts

“Against the odds” pick: Marlon Mack RB12

“Beat the odds” pick: Jacoby Brissett QB19

Broncos vs Packers

“Against the odds” pick: Aaron Jones RB10

“Beat the odds” pick: MVS

Saints vs Seahawks

“Against the odds” pick: Michael Thomas WR8

“Beat the odds” pick: DK Metcalf WR36

Rams vs Browns

“Against the odds” pick: Jared Goff QB13

“Beat the odds” pick: Jarvis Landry WR41

 

Other notable not so obvious plays we all like this week: Frank Gore, Devin Smith, Greg Olson, Nelson Agholor, Darwin Thompson, Carlos Hyde, Justice Hill, James Washington. Good luck in week 3! Come check us out next week and look for our waiver article to come out Tuesday.  

TNF Preview Titans @ Jaguars

gm.jpg

By: Matt Higgins

Again, TNF features another low scoring over/under of 39.5 with the Jaguars being 1-point home team dog.   So here are our picks for players we like to “Beat the odds” or will finish “Against the odds” in their consensus weekly rankings.

Mariota is 27th in passing as the Titans continue to be one of the worst teams through the air.  Any success that the Titans will have should be a result of Derick Henry and the Titan defense.  All the Titans can ask out of Mariota, is to protect the football to give them a chance.  Mariota is a game manager and shouldn’t be started in any format.

Who would have guessed that the Jaguar passing game would be the reason to watch TNF?  Gardner Minshew is becoming America’s quarterback.  His fame continues to grow thanks to his haircut, chest hair, near nude locker room antics, and partly thanks to his somewhat adequate 0-2 QB play.  Gardner threw for 213 yards and a TD, and added 56 yards on the ground last week, as the Jags had their hearts broke trying to play spoiler in a 13-12 loss against the Texans.  Yet, Gardner should only be started in the deepest of fantasy leagues. 

Derrick Henry RB12. Beat the odds

Henry set the team record in rushing last season against the Jaguar’s defense by rushing for 238 yards.  This Jaguars defense played well on the road last week, but the wheels could fall off at any moment with reports out that Ramsey is asking for a trade.  There is no way fantasy owners can sit Derrick Henry this week.  He has been a consistent fantasy performer dating back to last year.  Also, the Jags just gave up 90 yards to Carlos Hyde of all people last week.

Leonard Fournette RB 18 Against the odds

Fournette is going up against a stout defense in Tennessee that just held Marlon Mack to 2.5 yards a carry.   the matchup is bad, but still start Leonard Fournette as an RB2 and temper expectations.  There are so few players that garner the lion’s share of the work but, he’s u likely to return RB 18 value.

Against the odds on all WRs

The WR position is one to be avoided for fantasy purposes.  DJ Chark is the highest rated WR coming in with a ranking of #44, followed by Dede Westbrook #45, and the titans Corey Davis comes in with a ranking of #54.  Jalen Ramsey will be guarding Corey Davis who has done nothing all season and is a potential drop candidate for those of you believers.  The jaguars Dj Chark is a hot name to grab off waiver wire.  Chark has put up over 200 yards and caught 2 TDs this season and has emerged as the leading option on this team.  The matchup is beatable for Chark if you believe in Gardner, but The WRs in this game are best to be avoided all together

Delanie Walker TE11. Beat the odds

Old reliable Delanie walker lead the Titans in target last week.  Look for Walker to get some chances as the defense loads the box to stop Derick Henry.  The Jaguars are 17th against the TE this season, but he’s the most trusted pass catcher in this game.

Week 3 Waiver Wire

1.jpg
“If the quaterback throws the ball in the endzone and the wide receiver catches it……. It’s a touchdown.”

-John Madden

Week 2 is in the books, and like a head lice infestation, the injury bug is running rampant across the NFL! WATO is here to give you some information on the pickups you should make heading in to week 3. So, let’s get in to it, here’s our week 3 waiver article!

1.       Jaylen Samuels: James Connor left last game with a knee injury. It has come out already that the injury is not considered serious, but if Samuels is on the wire go get him! We saw last year when Connor began to break down how Samuels became more involved. He is an elite handcuff to own, and if Connor’s knee causes him to miss time, he’s a top 15 running back.

2.       Frank Gore: The ultimate fountain of youth! We saw Gore find the endzone this week against the Giants and he has led the team in touches the last two weeks. Devin Singletary left the contest with a hamstring injury and TJ Yeldon was an afterthought. If you are desperate at running back, you could do worse than Gore who plays Cincinnati next week.  

3.       Darwin Thompson: Both Damien Williams and LeSean McCoy left with injuries in week two.  We all saw what Thompson is capable of in the preseason and it is highly likely that he is on the wire after the McCoy signing. If he gets a chance, he will produce in that offense. Don’t wait until he blows up to get him on your team.

4.       Demarcus Robinson: Any wide receiver in the Chiefs offense is going to produce. We talked about Robinson in our breakout players article this summer. With Hill out, Robinson provides that veteran leadership on the field and has developed a trust with Mahomes. They have a tough matchup this week with Baltimore, but he will be involved.

5.       Mecole Hardman: The guy has elite speed and he put that on display Sunday. He is playing in the Hill role and even had a touchdown called back in the game. Both Robinson and Hardman offer great upside and flex worthy consideration from owners in any format.

6.       Deebo Samuel: Dante Pettis who? Samuel is electric and put up a great week two with 87 yards receiving and a touchdown.  We saw in the preseason flashes of what Samuel can do, and it looks like he has the trust of Jimmy G. If you are a Pettis owner, drop him for Samuel at this point.

Some other names to check out:

Josh Allen, Jimmy Garoppolo, Terry McLaurin, Nelson Agholor, Carlos Hyde, DJ Chark, Will Dissly, Raheem Mostert, James Washington, Devin Smith, Daniel Jones, D’Ernest Johnson.  

thumbnail.jpg

Thursday Night NFL Kickoff Preview

By: Matt Higgins

The 2019/20 season has finally arrived! We are no longer on the “ZEKE watch”, the leaves are starting to change colors, pumpkin spiced spam is a thing, and we are back to FOOTBALL!!!! We will be kicking off this season with the longest enduring rivalry in NFL Football, the Packers vs Bears.  First time head coach, Matt LaFluer will be taking on the defending NFC North Champion Bears, who lost only two starters in the secondary. The Bears also signed Ha-Ha Clinton Dix to face his old team to open up the season.  Weekly rankings are out, and everyone is starting to put together their lineups.  Here at WATO, we will look at the “consensus” weekly rankings and tell you if that said player will “beat the Odds”, or if we are going “against the odds”.  For example, if we think a player will perform better than his weekly ranking, we will give him the “beat the odds” classification. If we think a player is ranked too high (like Aaron Rodgers is every year), we will inevitably be going “against the odds”. Last season these teams opened against each other in a 24-23 Packer victory at home where Khalil Mack almost won the game by himself, and Mitchell Tribusky folded under pressure.  So here you go, what are the odds?

(Rankings based on ½ pt ppr, and 4pts per passing TD)

QB Aaron Rodgers.  Week 1 rank: QB 10

WATO prediction (going against the Odds)

Returning QB4 value would be a tall task in a road game with a 46 point over under on the road.  The Bears defense is too good to allow Rodgers to pick them apart at home, and Mr. Mack “Can’t wait to hit someone”.  We would expect Rodgers to finish outside the top 10 this week, but if you drafted him you are probably still playing him. There are better start options out there for you if you drafted guys later like Brees, Jackson, or Winston for week 1.

Mitchell Trubisky Week 1 rank: QB 20

WATO prediction (beats the odds)

Trubisky possesses the upside of Lamar Jackson but gets none of the hype.  This is his second year in the system and all that the offense did was get better.  He will be playing at home as a favorite this year, against a team that isn’t known for their defense.  It should be mentioned that the Packers improved defensively by bringing in a number of new starters, but they still finished 22nd in points allowed last year. Look for Trubisky to outperform Rodgers as a WATO told you upset.

Aaron Jones Week 1 rank: RB 17

WATO prediction (going against the odds)

The Packers held out Aaron Jones this preseason to get him ready for week 1.  Unfortunately, the Bears are a brutal matchup for Jones.  Matt LaFluer is known for his commitment to the run, but let’s not forget how long it took him to showcase Derek Henry last year! This is Rodgers’ team, and it’s unlikely that they will be able to commit to the run against the Bears stout defense.  The best chance for Jones to get going might be in the passing game and it’s entirely possible that he will.  The value at 17 feels close but the WATO staff is going against the odds on this one.

Tarik Cohen Week 1 rank: RB 30

WATO Prediction (beats the odds)

Cohen is a player that consistently is under-valued.  Last year he finished as a top 15 RB in PPR, and the last time he played the packers he had 24 yards on the ground, 5 catches for 31 yards and a TD.  These stats would be just fine for an RB 3 PPR flex. Lost in all the David Montgomery hype is the fact that he has never played an NFL snap and that he is at best 2nd on the depth chart (3rd really because Mike Davis is listed as the #2). RB 30 is outlandishly low for Cohen and WATO is calling for him to beat the odds in this one!

David Montgomery Week 1 rank: RB 18

WATO PREDICTION (going against the odds)

Montgomery was drafted in the 3rd round to take over the Jordan Howard role.  If he gets that role, he should be good for about 15 touches and a coin flip chance at a TD.  This is a tall task going against an improved Packers defense in his first ever NFL game.  The Bears may decide to give veteran RB Mike Davis some of the carries, after all, he carried the ball 112 times for the Seahawks last year.  Cohen, Mike Davis, and the potential of a shootout make David Montgomery too risky to return such a high value in week 1. WATO is going against the odds in this one.

Davante Adams Week 1 rank: WR 4

WATO PREDICTION (beats the odds)

If Rodgers is throwing a touchdown, odds are its going to Adams! In two matchups last year, Adams racked up 13 receptions for 207 yards and one score vs the Bears. You start your studs no matter who they are playing, and WATO is siding with Adams on this one to beat the odds.

MVS Week 1 rank: WR 50

WATO PREDICTION (going against the odds)

For as much as we know, it looks like MVS will be lined up against Kyle Fuller for the Bears.  Now WR 50 seems low but I don’t anticipate MVS having much of a game in this tough matchup. If you don’t need to start him, put him on your bench and wait to see how the Packer WR usage shakes out.

Geronimo Allison Week 1 rank: WR 44

WATO PREDICTION (beats the odds)

Like I just got done saying, the Packer WR 2 role is still a mystery to most. It is rumored that Allison will be playing in the slot, and Rodgers loves to target that position.  I feel better about Allison beating the odds in this one as he won’t have to do much work to beat WR 44 rank.

Allen Robinson Week 1 rank: WR 22

WATO PREDICTION (going against the odds)

Robinson is no doubt the Bears #1 WR but for whatever reason, he hasn’t had big games vs the Pack. Last season in two games he only tallied 7 receptions for 115 yards and no scores. Sitting at WR 22, its hard to imagine he will be a heavy part of the game plan when he draws a tough matchup against Jaire Alexander. WATO is going against the odds in this one!

Anthony Miller Week 1 rank: WR 47

WATO PREDICTION (beats the odds)

He didn’t get much playing time vs the Pack last season, but Miller has been a sleeper for a lot of people this year. He was banged up already during this preseason, but it looks like the Bears took him off the injury report. He will get the better matchups against the soft spot of the Packer defense, so we look for him the beat the odds in this one.

Jimmy Graham Week 1 rank: TE 16

WATO PREDICTION (going against the odds)

Jimmy Graham is already dealing with injuries this year. He has also done nothing on the Packers when they have played against the Bears. In two games last season he hauled in only 5 receptions for 40 yards. He just hasn’t been part of the game plan when the Packers play the Bears who typically cover the TE well. WATO is going against the odds in this one!

Trey Burton Week 1 rank: TE 24

WATO PREDICTION (going against the odds)

Burton is questionable to play in this game and if he can’t role, Adam Shaheen will be the starting TE. In week 1 you don’t want to start off the first game getting a dud from your TE because he started the game but left early because he was coming in already hurt. WATO is going against the odds in this one!

beats.jpg

Eric Holzmann's Draft Day Dudes

IMG_9638.JPG

Greetings WATO Readers! We have an extra special last-minute Fantasy Football Draft Weekend article from our good friend Eric Holzmann from the Mann Up! Sports Show! Check out Eric’s Draft Day Dudes. It’s 1 part values, 1 part sleepers, 1 part breakouts, and 100% Fantasy Football fun!

2019 Draft Day Dudes by Eric Holzmann

 On the fence about some players?  Do you wait until the late rounds to draft a quarterback?  New to your league and wanna surprise everyone with your vast knowledge of fantasy football?  Well…  here are some candidates who might not be talked about much but who could turn out to have excellent fantasy seasons. 

 

 

Quarterbacks:

 

  1. Derek Carr (ADP: #174 overall) – The Raiders did a good job this offseason of adding quality playmakers around Carr, specifically Antonio Brown, who after having frostbitten feet and a helmet issue has returned to the Raiders training camp. The additions of Brown, Tyrell Williams, and rookies Hunter Renfrow and first round pick Josh Jacobs gives Carr the best set of skill position players he’s ever had. Add to that the Raiders defense being trash and Carr should have plenty of opportunities to throw the ball. I fully expect Carr to throw for 4000 yards and about 30 TD’s this season, and that is more than good enough for a late round pick.

 

  1. Jimmy Garoppolo (ADP: #166 overall)– Garoppolo had thrown for 5 TD’s and 3 INT’s before going down with the ACL injury and missing the season, but he is back this year with added weapons in the offense. RB Tevin Coleman and rookie WR Deebo Samuel should add some much-needed life to a 49ers offense that has stud TE George Kittle and little else. Assuming Garoppolo has no side effects from the knee, I think drafting him in the 10th or 11th round is excellent value.

 

Running Backs:

 

  1. Derrick Henry (ADP: #39 overall) – I know some of you might be saying “Didn’t he breakout last year?” Well… kinda. Over his last 4 games he averaged 146 ypg and ran for 7 TD’s for an average of 25.75 fantasy points per game, but before that he didn’t do much at all. That being said, Henry is expected to carry the load this year for a team that is going to run the ball a whole lot. His ADP right now is the end of the 3rd round that makes him the 20th best fantasy RB. I am here to tell you that’s ridiculous and he will be a top 10 fantasy RB by the end of this year.

 

  1. Aaron Jones (ADP: #33 overall) – It’s pretty amazing to me that Jones didn’t see a steady dose of carries for the Packers last year once he was healthy, because he is by far and away their best RB. He averaged 5.5 ypc in the 12 games he played, and as Aaron Rodgers ages he is going to need to rely on his RB’s more. He also improved greatly as a pass catcher, something that was considered a knock on his game. He is currently going in the 3rd round, which is good value, but it’s not crazy to think we could be drafting Jones in the late first next season.

 

Wide Receivers :

 

  1. Curtis Samuel (ADP: #95) – Everyone seems to love Samuel’s teammate D.J. Moore, as he is being drafted higher, but give me Samuel, who outperformed Moore last year. New coach Norv Turner has raved about Samuel in camp, calling him a superb route runner. Add to that the Panthers have the 7th easiest schedule for WR’s, and I only expect that to go up in Turner’s offense. He’s currently being picked in the 8th round.

 

  1. Mike Williams (ADP: #61) – After being picked with the 7th overall selection of the 2017 NFL Draft, Williams missed the bulk of his rookie year and was a bit of a question mark coming into last season. Well… question answered. Williams posted an excellent season, catching 43 passes for 664 yards and an impressive 10 TD’s. While Keenan Allen is still the guy to pick on the Chargers, Williams is poised to get more work with the departure of Tyrell Williams to Oakland. I think people are nuts letting him last until the late 5th round/early 6th round behind guys like Dede Westbrook, D.J. Moore, Kenny Golloday, and Tyler Lockett. I look for Williams to explode this season and be a top 15 fantasy WR by the end of the season.

 

Tight Ends:

 

  1. Chris Herndon (ADP: 202) – One of the bright spots coming out of last season for the Jets was the development of Herndon into a legitimate threat in the passing game. He is going to miss the first 4 games, but Herndon and Sam Darnold have developed an excellent rapport. He caught 56 passes for 502 yards last year and 4 TD’s, but that could jump even higher with the red zone attention LeVeon Bell will be attracting. Herndon is currently going very late in drafts, and in some cases, undrafted, but I think that has more to do with the suspension than production. If you can draft and stash him, you’ll be happy you did.

 

  1. O.J. Howard (ADP: 57) – The former first round pick had a very good season last year before injuries derailed it. In 11 games he caught 34 passes for 565 yards and 5 TD’s, and that was with shaky QB play. With Bruce Arians around I fully expect improvement from QB Jameis Winston and increased production from a healthy Howard. A talent like this could improve to become one of the top TE’s in the league. I see him making the Big 3 TE’s a Big 4 by the end of the year.