Against the odds plays for week 14

“You may be the first person in history to get a fantasy football concussion”

The time has finally come! Week 14, the first week of fantasy football playoffs! Everyone is rushing to their favorite rankings website to help set their lineups. Men and women everywhere are spending less time Christmas shopping and more time listening to their favorite podcast (hopefully @WATOffb). One thing I could never understand is why podcasts talk about a player they think is going to have a good game, but then totally contradict what they say based on the rankings they produce.  What one needs to understand is that the rankings are merely an expectation and you shouldn’t make your decisions only on where a guy is ranked. Consider everything that is going on with said player to include, matchup, opportunity, potential injuries, and home/away splits to exploit. I know that is a lot to consider sometimes and, most don’t have the time to do that kind of research in December with the holidays fast approaching. Well have no fear because WATO is here for YOU! We broke down a few players who we feel will perform better than what the odds and rankings are saying for your team!

QB

Baker Mayfield: Yahoo has this Dangerous man ranked around the likes of Ryan Tannehill and Case Keenum?? I’m here to tell you that a QB who has thrown over 40 times each game in his last 5 games, will be a top 12 QB this week against a Carolina Defense who have forgot how to cover people.

RB

LaGarrette Blount: Everyone is rushing to pick up the likes of Jaylen Samuels and Jeff Wilson from the movie Office Space….Well give me Blount who has 35 carries over his last two games. No Kerryon Johnson and going up against Arizona who has given up a league leading 17 TDs to Running backs.

Justin Jackson: Plays Cincinnati this week. Chargers coaching staff have said they want to let Gordon rest and don’t want to overwork Ekeler. Jackson is a top 20 Rb this week.

Bold North toss up….Stevan Ridley: It’s no secret that the Steelers like to use one back on offense. This week Tomlin came out and said they will be using a committee approach. Jaylen Samuels will start but he has averaged only 2.58 yards a carry this year. When the Steelers need to rush the ball, they may be relying more on Ridley than Samuels. This is not a sure-fire pick and I wouldn’t start Ridley going into week one of the playoffs, but if you have a spot he may be the back to own if Samuels can’t get it done.

WR

Larry Fitzgerald: This future HOFer isn’t getting much love this week in the rankings and I don’t know why. Christian Kirk goes down on IR and vacates 68 targets on the year. Fitz gets to play at home vs Detroit who has given up 7 TDs to opposing wrs over last 5 games. I look for Fitz to have a good game this week and find the end zone!

Anthony Miller: It sounds like he will be getting Mitchell back this week! Miller has only averaged three targets in Trubisky’s absence. I like Miller to have a bounce back game against a Rams defense who has allowed 26 passing scores this season.

Bold North toss upDaeSean Hamilton….Emmanuel Sanders is out for the season and everyone is rushing to pick up Courtland Sutton. However, Denver beat reporter Zac Stevens expects Hamilton to take over Sanders’ role in terms of playing in the slot. When Hamiliton’s inside, Tim Patrick will be outside Sutton in 3 wr sets. Keenum loves targeting slot wrs and Hamilton could provide great value to teams down the stretch. He’s not a start, but a pickup and monitor.

I’m not going to offer up TE’s to stream because it’s a nightmare. Why is everyone on the band wagon of eliminating kickers from fantasy? The TE position is the hardest position to predict when it comes to streaming and it’s much harder to get points out of compared to kickers. You can literally pick up almost any kicker and they will give you points each week, but the TE spot is a complete gamble and nobody knows what is going to happen. Kickers stay, TE’s be gone! End of rant!

What are the odds you win this week? Hopefully after reading this pretty good! Good luck this week!

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