The Kansas City Chiefs are not getting the national attention that a 10-6 team deserves. The Chiefs lost by one point in the playoffs and they are returning all of their offensive weapons except an aging quarterback that the Chief faithful never embraced anyways. Gone is Alex Smith and the time is now for Patrick Mahomes. Andy Reid is no stranger to quarterback talent and he convinced management to move up in last year’s draft to take the Kansas City Native Mahomes. Andy Reid is a consistent winner in this league and one of the best offensive minds the NFL has ever seen. There is no doubt that Andy Reid believes in the talent of this strong armed and athletic phenom. Despite having a first year starter QB, the Chiefs are still favored to win their division and this should be a team that all fantasy players want to have a piece of.
Patrick Mahomes II has an arm that is drawing comparisons to Brett Favre, Jonn Elway, Aaron Rodgers, etc. He will start week 1, possibly having the strongest arm in the league. His dad was a professional baseball player and Tyreek Hill says that he has never caught a pass that whistled until he played catch with Patrick Mahomes. Last year, Alex Smith was able to throw for over 4000 yards in this offense. This year the Chiefs add Sammy Watkins. Currently Mahomes is going at pick #105, QB 15, which is far too late for a guy with his skills and situation. This guy has the athleticism, arm, and talent to be a difference maker and potentially win fantasy championships. He is a huge value at his current ADP.
Kareem Hunt is another guy not getting the love that he deserves. After leading the league in rushing last year and winning rookie of the year, one has to wonder, “what else does a guy have to do?” He enters this year as a NFL star, he is the clear cut starter in an Andy Reid offense that ALWAYS produces fantasy stars. Still, fantasy owners expect a slump from Hunt because of the return of a healthy Spencer Ware. If Hunt has any issues running the ball this year it will be due to play of his center and left guard, not the play of Spencer Ware. Draft Kareem Hunt in the first round with confidence. It’s a shame that his name isn’t mentioned with the David Johnsons and Ezekiel Elliotts of the world.
The Chiefs added the sure handed and often injured Sammy Watkins to play in the slot. They gave him 50 million dollars to do it and he is currently being drafted with an ADP of #74. Watkins in the 7th round would feel like a value compared to having to draft Tyreek Hill in the 2nd round. Hill was in the perfect situation with Alex Smith last year and there is no guarantee that Hill will share the same connection with Mahomes. Also, Watkins, Kelce, and Hunt are sure to dig into his target share this season. It should be mentioned that Hill is a freakish talent who led the NFL in yards per reception by a long shot last season. Also, he possesses higher upside than almost any other player in the league thanks to his game changing speed. However, it feels too early to draft a player with increased competition for targets playing with a rookie QB. I would take Sam in the 7th and pass on Hill in the early 3rd
There is a case to be made for Travis Kelce going as the first TE off the board. Over the last two seasons, Kelce has out produced Gronkowski in several statistics. Granted, a lot of this is because Gronkowski can’t stay on the field, but seriously though, do we have any reason to believe this trend won’t continue? Kelce catches far more balls than Gronk and this should be considered if you’re playing in a PPR format, but Gronk catches the TD’s and the deep passes. Gronk is a player than can win you your week or your league and Kelce is consistent producer on a winning team. The upside of Gronkowski still gives him a slight edge over Kelce as the top TE in football
The fantasy impact of players like Kelce, Hunt, Watkins, and Hill rest on the strong right arm of Patrick Mahomes.
Andy Reid believes in Mahomes, Vegas believes in Mahomes, and you should too. The upside of what this kid can do makes all of the fantasy options values at their current ADP with the exception of Tyreek Hill.