“I feel like I’m the best, but you’re not going to get me to say that.” – Jerry Rice
The late rounds of your fantasy draft are where good teams are made! Sure, there can be first and second round busts, but the odds are those picks typically perform for you. Unless you are like our buddy Scott who once picked Davante Parker in the 2nd round! If you can make the right picks late and catch you some lightning in a bottle, your team will be one to contend with come playoff time. Here are some mid to late round guys we expect to have a breakout fantasy season.
Rashaad Penny - Seahawks, ADP: 7th round
Yes, we know what you are thinking! Penny was a giant let down last year in his rookie season, but he is still a very talented back drafted in the first round. The knock on him last season was that he was an out of shape rookie who struggled with pass protection. That ultimately lead to Chris Carson winning the job and holding onto it all season. However, the biggest tell sign here is what Seattle didn’t do and that was go out and get another RB. In fact, Mike Davis is no longer on the team and as it sits right now, Chris Carson is banged up. The ultimate fantasy trickster, Mr. Pete Carroll reported that Carson had “a little work done” and he expects him to return to the field in a few weeks. With Carson recovering from surgery, Penny has to opportunity to be the number one back. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer has already reported that Penny looks slimmer and in better shape during mini-camp. Seattle wants to run the ball more than they pass and they proved this last year. The loss of Doug Baldwin may have them leaning even more on the run game if that’s even possible. Currently, Penny is being drafted around the 7th round with guys like Matt Breida, LeSean McCoy, and Dion Lewis. Potentially you could be drafting a number 1 running back that late! Wait on him and let the points flow to your team!
Christian Kirk - Cardinals, ADP: 8th round
In his rookie season, Kirk managed 43 receptions for 590 yards and 3 touchdowns. The stat line isn’t anything to write home about, but if we are high on Kyler Murray (read the last article) then we must be high on Kirk. New head coach, Kliff Kingsbury has already spoke highly of Kirk during mini-camp. The outlook for Kirk in the new offense is tremendous with the added amount of plays the offense is projected to run compared to last year. With an average draft position sitting in the 8th round, Kirk could add some great value to your roster!
DeMarcus Robinson - Chiefs, ADP: 14th round or later
Why isn’t anyone talking about this guy? Tyrek Hill is potentially going to be suspended by the NFL. Chris Conley is gone via free agency. Robinson ends the offseason program as the club's second-most experienced receiver behind Sammy always hurt Watkins. Last season he hauled in 22 catches for 288 yards and four touchdowns. Those numbers won’t get anyone excited, but sometimes opportunity and experience trump talent. The hype is buzzing for rookie Mecole Hardman, who was drafted in the 2nd round by KC, but Hardman’s current ADP is sitting in the 7/8 rounds. I would much rather take a more established WR like Will Fuller or Jarvis Landry at that spot and pick up Robinson after the 14th! Just remember that majority of the time rookie WRs take some time to show up for fantasy owners. Look for Robinson late and thank me later!