Greetings WATO Readers! We have an extra special last-minute Fantasy Football Draft Weekend article from our good friend Eric Holzmann from the Mann Up! Sports Show! Check out Eric’s Draft Day Dudes. It’s 1 part values, 1 part sleepers, 1 part breakouts, and 100% Fantasy Football fun!
2019 Draft Day Dudes by Eric Holzmann
On the fence about some players? Do you wait until the late rounds to draft a quarterback? New to your league and wanna surprise everyone with your vast knowledge of fantasy football? Well… here are some candidates who might not be talked about much but who could turn out to have excellent fantasy seasons.
Derek Carr (ADP: #174 overall) – The Raiders did a good job this offseason of adding quality playmakers around Carr, specifically Antonio Brown, who after having frostbitten feet and a helmet issue has returned to the Raiders training camp. The additions of Brown, Tyrell Williams, and rookies Hunter Renfrow and first round pick Josh Jacobs gives Carr the best set of skill position players he’s ever had. Add to that the Raiders defense being trash and Carr should have plenty of opportunities to throw the ball. I fully expect Carr to throw for 4000 yards and about 30 TD’s this season, and that is more than good enough for a late round pick.
Jimmy Garoppolo (ADP: #166 overall)– Garoppolo had thrown for 5 TD’s and 3 INT’s before going down with the ACL injury and missing the season, but he is back this year with added weapons in the offense. RB Tevin Coleman and rookie WR Deebo Samuel should add some much-needed life to a 49ers offense that has stud TE George Kittle and little else. Assuming Garoppolo has no side effects from the knee, I think drafting him in the 10th or 11th round is excellent value.
Derrick Henry (ADP: #39 overall) – I know some of you might be saying “Didn’t he breakout last year?” Well… kinda. Over his last 4 games he averaged 146 ypg and ran for 7 TD’s for an average of 25.75 fantasy points per game, but before that he didn’t do much at all. That being said, Henry is expected to carry the load this year for a team that is going to run the ball a whole lot. His ADP right now is the end of the 3rd round that makes him the 20th best fantasy RB. I am here to tell you that’s ridiculous and he will be a top 10 fantasy RB by the end of this year.
Aaron Jones (ADP: #33 overall) – It’s pretty amazing to me that Jones didn’t see a steady dose of carries for the Packers last year once he was healthy, because he is by far and away their best RB. He averaged 5.5 ypc in the 12 games he played, and as Aaron Rodgers ages he is going to need to rely on his RB’s more. He also improved greatly as a pass catcher, something that was considered a knock on his game. He is currently going in the 3rd round, which is good value, but it’s not crazy to think we could be drafting Jones in the late first next season.
Wide Receivers :
Curtis Samuel (ADP: #95) – Everyone seems to love Samuel’s teammate D.J. Moore, as he is being drafted higher, but give me Samuel, who outperformed Moore last year. New coach Norv Turner has raved about Samuel in camp, calling him a superb route runner. Add to that the Panthers have the 7th easiest schedule for WR’s, and I only expect that to go up in Turner’s offense. He’s currently being picked in the 8th round.
Mike Williams (ADP: #61) – After being picked with the 7th overall selection of the 2017 NFL Draft, Williams missed the bulk of his rookie year and was a bit of a question mark coming into last season. Well… question answered. Williams posted an excellent season, catching 43 passes for 664 yards and an impressive 10 TD’s. While Keenan Allen is still the guy to pick on the Chargers, Williams is poised to get more work with the departure of Tyrell Williams to Oakland. I think people are nuts letting him last until the late 5th round/early 6th round behind guys like Dede Westbrook, D.J. Moore, Kenny Golloday, and Tyler Lockett. I look for Williams to explode this season and be a top 15 fantasy WR by the end of the season.
Chris Herndon (ADP: 202) – One of the bright spots coming out of last season for the Jets was the development of Herndon into a legitimate threat in the passing game. He is going to miss the first 4 games, but Herndon and Sam Darnold have developed an excellent rapport. He caught 56 passes for 502 yards last year and 4 TD’s, but that could jump even higher with the red zone attention LeVeon Bell will be attracting. Herndon is currently going very late in drafts, and in some cases, undrafted, but I think that has more to do with the suspension than production. If you can draft and stash him, you’ll be happy you did.
O.J. Howard (ADP: 57) – The former first round pick had a very good season last year before injuries derailed it. In 11 games he caught 34 passes for 565 yards and 5 TD’s, and that was with shaky QB play. With Bruce Arians around I fully expect improvement from QB Jameis Winston and increased production from a healthy Howard. A talent like this could improve to become one of the top TE’s in the league. I see him making the Big 3 TE’s a Big 4 by the end of the year.