Week 5 Waivers

The amount of scoring in Fantasy Football has been off the chain this season.  The amount of scoring on my fantasy football teams has not.  Again, this week we look to the waiver wire as the bye weeks come rollin in.  Here are the top 5 waiver claims for week 5

Mike Davis 3% owned 12% of budget

The Seattle running game has been surprisingly competent over the last couple weeks. Chis Carson was a surprising inactive last week after carrying the ball 32 times for a 102 yards the week before.  Then Mike Davis got the start in his absence and rushed for over a hundred yards on just 21 carries.  Carrol, has said that he expects Carson to return this week leaving this backfield a little muddy, but Seattle is becoming a run game that fantasy owners should want a piece of.  There just aren’t many teams that can rush for 100 yards a week.

Nick Chubb 20% owned 9% of budget

Talk about efficient! 105 yards, 3 carries and 2 TD’s.  Coach said today that he will play more.  Sorry to all of you Carlos Hyde truthers.  This backfield is going to time share status 

Nyheim Hynes 17% owned 5% of budget

The Colts are one of those teams that can’t run the football.  In fact, they’ve kind of given up trying.  Nyheim rushed the ball 4 times for 10 yards last week and has 3 yards a carry on the season.  Obviously he’s been getting his production through the air, but as a manager who has owned all of the Colt’s RB’s this season I would be skeptical.  

Ty Montgomery 18% owned 8% of budget

If you want pass catching WR with upside Ty Montgomery may be the player for you.  The return of Aaron Jones has been good not great, and the Packers do not appear ready to turn him into a bell cow yet.  Also, Ty Montgomery could find himself in the WR3 talk for the packers.  Randall Cobb looks likely to miss more time and Geronomo probably won’t get 11 targets every week.  

Taywan Taylor 3% owned 5% of budget

Pass catchers are dropping like flies in Nashville.  Delanie Walker goes down for the season, Rishard Matthews quits the team, and players like Taywan Taylor become viable.  Last week he caught 7 or 9 passes for 77 yards.  Players like taylor, Callaway, Dede Westbrook. Etc that are getting these week in and week out targets need to be owned.

Ronald Jones 24% owned 5% of budget

It’s not happening for Peyton Barber this week, this season, probably ever.  How is this guy 24% owned when he hasn’t even been active until last week?  He looked more efficient in one game than Barber has all season.  Maybe this offense will become more balanced with Winston under center.  For now he’s worth a speculative add.

Week 4 Waiver Wire by Matt Higgins

Week 4 Waiver Wire 


Most of the running backs came out of week 4 unscathed.  Matt Brieda exited on what appeared to be a non-contact injury but reentered the game and produced.  Dalvin Cooks injury is beginning to look like it will keep him out of this Thursday’s matchup as well.  Gio Bernard played almost every snap in the absence of Joe Mixon and looked like an every week starter.  However, there are rumors that Mixon could return as soon as this week.  Hopefully you didn’t give up on the rookie RB’s K Johnson or Royce freeman.  If they are on your waiver wire somehow either is probably worth 50% or more of your budget.


It’s unfortunate to have such a thin waiver wire week at the RB position when so many teams (Colts, buccaneers, Cardinals, Dolphins, Etc) have given fantasy owners so little in the run game.  I would like all of the All-Star listeners to go back to podcast one where I talk up Calvin Ridley as the best rookie WR in the draft and someone that should definitely be rostered.   If I could listen to my own advice I would be 40 pounds lighter, I wouldn’t drink on weekdays, and I would have had Ridley’s 37 points on my fantasy roster.  Heading into week 4 we need to down grade all of San Francisco due to the loss of Jimmy G (The Porn

Star Slayer) and upgrade all of the Browns thanks to the arrival of the Baker Mayfield Era.  I am going to leave Wendall Smallwood out this week because I believe that either Ajayi or Sproles will play this week.  


Tyler Boyd 18% owned 15% of budget

Boyd has shown up two weeks in a row with a TD.  Also, he has put up 91 yards and 132 yards over the last two weeks.  His production should only go up as AJ Green is almost certain to miss games with the injury he suffered Sunday.  If your team needs WR help this is a guy you can pick up and start without concern.  


Antonio Callaway (2nd week on list) 33% owned 14% of budget

We talked to you about Antonio Callaway last week.  Hopefully his 4 fantasy points didn’t discourage you.  He received 10 targets and was very close to having a master game.  Baker Mayfield is special, and it only took about 5 plays to see it.  Also, his 10 targets left little doubt that he is the number 2 in this offense.


Calvin Ridley 45% owned 13% of budget

Don’t expect 3 TD’s a week but his targets have grown from 2 to 5 to 8, his TD’s have gone from 0 to 1 to 3, his yards have also grown from 0 to 64 to 146.  You get the idea; his stats are trending the right direction.  The presence of a Calvin Ridley could take Matt Ryan, the Falcons, and your fantasy team to the next level


Buck Allen (2nd week on list) 27% owned 12% of budget

It’s a thin running back waiver wire week.  Buck has not been an effective runner and isn’t getting a lot of carries, but he has been heavily involved as the pass catching back and has also been getting consistent carries on the goal line.  His lack of carries makes him hard to trust but the Ravens may need him with some potential shootouts against the Steelers and Browns over the next couple weeks. 


Chris Ivory (2nd week on list) 6% owned 11% of budget.

He wasn’t very effective with his 20 carries, but how many running backs are getting 20 carries?  Also, that was against a Vikings defense that was supposed to be good.  It doesn’t seem like it’s happening for LeSean McCoy this year.  If Ivory is going to get this volume he should have a spot in your roster.



Vance McDonald 12% owned 3% of budget

Look there are lot of meh starts at TE.  I was right last week when I said the Steelers would produce for a fantasy.  Unfortunately, I gave you the wrong Steelers TE.  Vance and the Outlaw Jesse James are both roster able TE’s.  Vance has received 5 targets in both of the last two games.  His 75-yard TD tonight made me believe that maybe he’s the TE that can help out us Evan Engram owners.  Njoku, OJ Howard, ASJ, Eifert (8 targets with AJ down last week) are all options to consider

The Baker Mayfield Era of The Browns Arrives! by Matt Higgins

Can one player save a franchise and your fantasy team?

The Browns were on their way to losing yet another game against one of the worst offenses in football.  The Jets number one pick Sam Darnold was highly ineffective and could only complete the easiest of passes.  Luckily for him he only had to beat the lowly Browns and their years of games without a victory.  Tyrod Taylor was running for his life, throwing under thrown balls, and hadn’t scored an offensive point when he was knocked out of the game late in the second half.  Then everything changed.

The Baker Mayfield Era began.  He immediately ran the two-minute drill and put up the Browns first points of the game.  Carlos Hyde came to life eventually running for almost 100 yards and scoring two touchdowns.  Landry was still the main target in the offense, however, Bakers ball had so much zip that the sure handed “Bless um” dropped a wide-open pass off his shoulder pads.  Names like Higgins and Njoku finally became relevant.  Also, it’s safe to say that Baker Magic has enough juice to put Callaway into starter status for fantasy owners in need of WR help.  Everything was different. 

So now what?  Expect Carlos Hyde’s YPC to go from 2.8 to 3.8.  His command of the backfield is astonishing receiving almost all the carries.  On a side note, congratulations Carlos on the birth of your first born, “Carlos Jr” born just hours after the game.  Unfortunate that even with his dad being an accomplished NFL running back people will still associate his name with curly fries and a Coke.  Jarvis Landry went from being a PPR monster to being a PPR monster with TD upside.   Landry and Baker had obvious chemistry and it is amazing how Jarvis still finds a way to get open considering the attention he should be receiving.  I like Landry as a top 15 WR play as long as Baker Mayfield is starting.  Callaway was also taking the top off the defense in this game.  He showed some shaky hands, but Baker is good enough to support two fantasy WR’s in this offense.  Callaway should be a player you can trust moving forward.  Also, David Njoku should now be rostered in all leagues.  

Baker Mayfield has turned a multiyear fantasy wasteland into what could be fantasy gold.  Baker threw for 200 yards and 2 TD’s in just over a half of football, the kicker signed off the street made two long field goals, Jarvis Landry turned back the clock, and Carlos Hyde matched his season production totals in a game.  Look for this production to continue as long as Baker Mayfield is the Browns quarter back.  This may be the best team in the division.  This is probably an offense that you want a piece of. 

Waiver Wire Week 3 Targets by Matthew Higgins

Week of the Running Back


Aaron Jones, 20% of budget, 61% owned


If you’re in a competitive league Jones was probably drafted and held.  He was the running back favored to win the starting job into camp until news broke of a PED suspension.  Now, he only has to beat out Jamal Williams and his 50 yards a game or so on 15 touches, albeit against formidable defenses.  Even more disappointing for Williams owners is the 3 receptions on the year.  Look for Aaaron Jones to grab this job, but I wouldn’t put him in my starting lineup this week in another difficult matchup.


Austin Eckler 20% of budget, 45% owned


Austin Ekeler has been efficient tallying 110 yards on 16 carries this season.  He also added 8 receptions for 108 yards.  Also, Melvin Gordon was knocked out of the game early in the 4th quarter with an upper body injury.  We are skeptical of the severity of the injury, as the Chargers were beating the lowly Buffalo Bills handily, but Austin has stand alone value and should be rostered in all leagues.



Corey Clement 22% owned 15% of budget


Jay Ajayi left the game early in the first quarter with a back injury.  Darren Spoles also missed week 2 with a hamstring injury.  Neither injury sounds career ending, but week in and week out this offensive line should support two starters.  If either of these backs misses next week Clement is a starter, if both miss next week you have a top 10 play on your hand.  It’s looking as Carson Wentz will return next week in a plus matchup for all involved against the Colts.  


Gio Bernard 28% owned 15% of budget, 


Gio has seen his seen his usage drop as Joe Mixon was given the true Bell Cow load to start the 2018 season.  Rightfully so, Joe was proving to be a great pass blocker and a weapon on 3rd down.  Now, Gio should be getting the Bell Cow load as Mixon has arthroscopic knee surgery with a time line of missing 1 to 4 games.  With Gio’s versatility he should be an every week starter in Joe’s absence even if you only get a game or two out of him.   


Buck Allen 15% owned 15% of budget

The Ravens have morphed into a pass for team this season with all of the additions at WR.  (Part of this was game script last week somehow allowing AJ Green to score 3TD’s in a quarter of football)  Also, concerning for Alex Collins owners is Allens usage around the goal line.  He might not get the first and second down looks, but he is proving to be the Ravens fantasy running back to own.


Latavius Murray 15% 12% of budget


A valuable handcuff and goal line back, but it should also be noted that Cook did leave the game in overtime with an alleged hamstring injury.  It was 95 degrees out after 5 quarters of heavy usage for Delvin, but you hate to see a talent like this leave a game.  Delvin has blamed cramps and more likely “stopping the clock” for the injury but Latavius is a must own for Cook owners this week.



Rashaad Penny 12% owned  10% of budget


This offensive line is bad.  I have a hard time starting any Seattle RB but it should be said that Chris Carson has given you nothing and was absent in the 2nd half of last nights game.  If you believe any of the Rashaad Penny hype out of pre season, get ready, he should be getting his opportunity very soon.


Chris Ivory 10% owned 10% of budget


Here’s a name we can’t get away from.  Hard to believe this guy is still in the league, but when you’re a backup on the Buffalo offense you are BAIRLY in the league.  McCoy has battled through bruised ribs before and he’s always been a gamer.  However, expect him to miss at least this week, and Ivory should get a heavy workload, but they have to play the Vikings on the road this week.  


Wide Receivers


Deshawn Jackson 20% owned 15% of Budget


To be seen how long Fitzmagic will last, but look no further than his post game presser to realize how enamored he is for this aging speedster.  DJax is averaging 130 yards a game on only 5 targets, but that is a DeSean Jackson line.  We have to roll with DJax while Fitzmagic is still doing his thing. 


Antonio Callaway  7% owned 10% of Budget


The exit of Josh Gordon has opened the door for Antonio Callaway to be the #2 in Cleveland.  He stepped up last week hauling in 3 or 4 targets for 81 yards and a TD.  He’s worth a roster spot and does have big play ability



Keelan Cole and Dede Westbrook           19 % and 17% owned 10% and 8% of budget


Much like Ryan Fitzmagic Blake Bortles appears to be a thing this year.  After systematically dismantling the Patriots, it looks as if this offense can support 2 wide receivers and a tight end.  Cole is the preferred option, but Westbrook has put up a near identical stat lines with 50 yards in week one and 80 and a TD this week as well.



Jesse James 11% owned 8% of budget

Jesse James may be the answer for all of you searching at TE.  Remember last week when you treasure hunters blew 30% of your budget on George Kittle?  Well, you were taking your advice from the wrong guy.  I would have told you to save your money and grab someone like the Outlaw Jesse James who is getting consistent and valuable targets in the Steelers offense.  



Will Dissly 31% owned 5% of budget

We can all see that the Seahawks offense is struggling with a horrible offensive line and lack of pass catchers.   Dissly will not receive all of the TE work with Vannett at tight end as well, but out of sheer necessity one of these guys will have to emerge as a pass catcher if the Seahawks want to win some games.  The consistent targets that Dissly is getting makes him a start-able fantasy asset. 


OJ Howard 68% owned 4% of Budget

OJ is scoring fantasy points with the kind of efficiency that might make Deshawn Jackson blush.  3 catches for 96 yards and a TD last week, 2 for 2 and 54 yards in week one.  I don’t know if the production will be there week in and week out, but you could do worse as long as Fitzmagic is doing his thing.

Denver Broncos Team Preview by Nick Busch

Congrats, you get to read my first WATOFFB Team preview. We’re traveling through the AFC West and taking a look at the Denver Broncos. The Broncos will be better than last year…thanks for coming out!


Ok, so there is a little more to the story I guess I should cover. A Lot of Viking fans were hurt when the team let Keenum walk away after such a successful season. I on the other hand was not on that ship and it was hard for me to see Keenum reproducing the magic he had in 2017 for the Vikings. I was happy to see him land in Denver and get the starting job. Although he will be an upgrade over what Denver has had at the QB position in years, I don’t see him putting up the numbers he did in 2017 for the team. You probably aren’t drafting Keenum in any leagues with only one QB, but he could provide some matchup bye week help as he has the 9th best schedule for QBs. 




We’re moving on to the more notable fantasy assets in Denver and that is the WRs. Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, and Courtland Sutton are the guys to own in Denver. This is the year we see Thomas and Sanders finally get to play with a competent QB again and I look for both to be fantasy relevant out of the gate. 

The current ADP for both WRs scream value and I look to scoop them up if they remain at their current spots. Thomas is currently being draft as the WR 18, going after guys like Amari Cooper, Brandin Cooks, and Adam Thielen. Last year Thomas finished with 83 receptions, 949 yards, and five touchdowns. How he did that with the QB play he had is amazing to me. Thomas will be a solid WR2 for your team and offers low end WR1 upside and I’m taking him over guys like Cooks and Thielen. 


Emmanuel Sanders’s ADP is even better! This guy has slipped all the way to WR35 and is being taken after guys like Devin Funchess, Will Fuller, and a hurt Alshon Jeffery. His production has dropped off the last 3 seasons but so has his QB play. Keenum showed last year that he was more than capable of producing multiple fantasy relevant WRs. Sanders has looked great in camp and is healthy. I feel like his game pairs well with the type of WRs Keenum likes. I look for Sanders to be a solid WR3 and has low end WR2 upside.


The final WR I’d like to talk about is a very talented and BIG athlete. Courtland Sutton is a rookie that was drafted by Denver in the 2nd round.  Hyped as one of the best if not the best WRs in the draft class, I look for Sutton to get some looks in the RedZone in his rookie season. In their first pre-season game vs the Vikings, Sutton ran with the first team as the WR3. The first play of the game, Keenum targeted Sutton on a sideline route but Denver couldn’t get much going against that Viking Defense. He doesn’t offer the best speed at the WR, but he has the build to jump and catch contested balls all over the field. Currently being drafted as the WR 69, Sutton is worth a flier late in drafts. 


Running backs:


The running back position in Denver comes down to a name we already know and a rookie we haven’t seen. Davonte Booker is the returning vet in the Denver Backfield that is currently slated as the starter. Royce Freeman is a big back that Denver that is lined up to become one of the rookies that can be the true starter week 1. We have seen what Booker can do and let’s face it, he’s not the guy. Freeman is a rookie RB I’m targeting in my drafts and I wouldn’t be afraid to reach on him. He is currently being drafted as the RB25, going after guys like fellow rookie Ronald Jones. Freeman looked great against the Vikings and he was one of the lone bright spots in the Denver Offense. Freeman rushed four times for 38 yards and one touchdown, while Booker failed to do anything worth writing home about. I look for Freeman to get the first crack at the starting job and have him as a solid RB2 this season. 


Tight End: 


You aren’t drafting a TE in Denver, unless you accidentally put one in your queue and your WIFI takes a crap on you and you automatically get one. The days of Manning to Julius Thomas are gone but Jake Butt is a real person and could be streamed against defenses shaky against the TE. 

It will be an interesting AFC West race this season, but Denver has some fantasy relevant pieces that can help your team out. 


Bold North Prediction: Royce Freeman is this year’s Kareem Hunt!

Oakland Raiders Team Preview by Matt Higgins

After waiting years on the sidelines and working one day a week, John Gruden left MNF and handpicked the  Vegas Raiders’ Head Coach job to mark his return to the national football league.  Why would he choose a 6 win team, heading the wrong direction, who has only had one winning season in the last 15 years?  Well, this is also a team with pro-bowlers throughout out the offensive line, a QB that is one year removed from becoming the highest paid QB in the league, and the Raiders are also only a season removed from a 12-4 record.  Cleary management has allowed Gruden to put his touch on the roster, and it’s the Raiders’ hope that bringing in veteran winning players and coaches will turn the momentum in a positive direction this season as they prepare to head into the Las Vegas Raiders era.



Last year Derek Carr missed a game do to a back injury, and now fans are hoping that the injury is convenient excuse for a horrendous season.  In 2016 Carr got paid and was being drafted as QB#4 in fantasy drafts.  In 2017 he got Michael Crabtree kicked out of town, a coaching staff fired, and nearly derailed the career of Amari Cooper.  He didn’t get a lot of help from a highly touted offensive line that disappointed.  Also, Beast Mode waited until the season was lost to become productive.  It’s hard to say what version of Derek Carr we will get, but John Gruden can only help the quarterbacks progress.  Who didn’t love to watch John Gruden sit down with all the QB’s in the draft and look at film?  Derick Carr has been quoted as saying that John Gruden is turning him into a QB robot.  Anyone who can win a Super Bowl with Brad Johnson has to know how to coach up quarterbacks, and I am a believer that Gruden will get the very best out of Derek Carr.  Carr is currently going as a quarterback you could stream and claim off waivers, but keep in mind that his schedule is good, this is a new offensive system, and he is playing with new WRs.  Don’t draft him but feel free to stream him if needed. 



Amari Cooper went from positing back to back 1000 yard seasons to putting up 680 yards last year.  It gets worse, he put up 210 of the yards in one game, and letting down fantasy teams in the other 15.  Fantasy owners should know that he is one of the most inconsistent players in football catching less than 50% of the passes thrown his way last season.  Also, in far too many games he went missing seeing 5 targets or less instead of the consistent 10 targets that you would want out of your number one WR.  Also, he’s put on 15 pounds or so in “alleged muscle” this off season.  You never want to see a speed WR with suspect hands put on a bunch of weight in the off season.  He doesn’t have the hands to go up and make contested plays.  Also, Cooper is not the WR garnishing all the praise in Raiders training camp and it’s hard to justify his #36 ADP given his fall off in production last year. 


Jordy Nelson is the WR you want to own in Oakland.  You might be thinking “why would I draft a 33 year old WR who only put up 500 yards for the Packers last year?”  Well, this 33 year old WR was coming off injury and not playing with Aaron Rodgers.  Also, in the previous two seasons he put up at least 1250 yards.  Most importantly, it’s the comments that are coming out of Raiders camp.  “I can’t believe the Packers let him go” -John Gruden.  The word is that he is one of the fastest players on the field, he’s catching everything, he’s the best route runner, blah blah blah.  The love for Jordy Nelson in Oakland is running out of control, and this love is not being reflected in his fantasy ADP of #95.  Please reach a round or maybe even 2, and draft this man.


Martavis Bryant comes over as a malcontent from Pittsburgh.  No one is denying his talent, but the same complaints he received from Steelers coaches and Rothesberger are popping up in Oakland.  Bryant lacks the effort to be a trusted member of an NFL franchise or fantasy roster.  Gruden has made it clear that his roster spot is not guaranteed,  adding that they need more effort and focus from Bryant.  It seems unlikely that Bryant wouldn’t at least get a chance to start for the Raiders considering that the team gave Pittsburgh a 3rd round pick to acquire him.  His current ADP is in the 12th round where it’s hard to find people of his ability, but the cards seem to be stacked against Bryant in Oakland.  Also, there are rumors that the Raiders are trying to shop him.



Marshawn Lynch is being reunited with his old coach Tom Cable who comes over from Seattle to coach the offensive line in Oakland.  He brings with him the zone blocking scheme that has allowed Marshawn to excel in the past.  Also, the strength of the Raiders offensive line is the interior that favors Marshawn’s “pick a hole and go” style.  Last year Marshawn fought ol’ Father Time and quietly piled up almost 900 yards on the ground.  It used to be that age of 30 was the magic number where RB’s went to pasture, but Marshawn is a different kinda guy in every aspect.  He is a spectacle on and off the field, but still, he seems like a safe bet to see the volume and out preform his current ADP of #72.  Last year he only got better as the season went on.


Doug Martin comes into Oakland with hopes of reviving his career.  Last year he put up 2.9 per carry in a Tampa Bay offense where no member excelled.  He is one of only a hand full of people in the league who have racked up multiple 1400 yard seasons, but those seasons seem like a long time ago.  Marshawn is listed as the clear cut starter on the depth chart.  However, Doug Martin is a player that Lynch owners should target.  Lynch has a history of missing games with back issues and Martin has proven he can do great things in the past.



Last year Jared Cook caught 54 passes for 688 yards.  Now he gets players like Amari Cooper, Jordy Nelson, and Martavis Bryant to take the top off the defense.  Still, there are younger TE’s with more upside, but you could do worse than Jared Cook if you wait on TE.  

Take Aways

John Gruden hand picked the Raiders.  They have a great offensive line, a talented QB, a WR with a chip on his shoulder, and some aging veterans that still have some football left in the tank. 

The AFC West is a tough division, but there are plenty of reasons to believe that Oakland will bounce back.  John Gruden is reason number one, two, and three.  He  knows how to get the most out of veteran players and turning locker rooms around.  

 Lynch and Jordy Nelson feel like good bets to out perform their current ADP.

The Kansas City Chiefs Team Preview by Matt Higgins

The Kansas City Chiefs are not getting the national attention that a 10-6 team deserves.  The Chiefs lost by one point in the playoffs and they are returning all of their offensive weapons except an aging quarterback that the Chief faithful never embraced anyways.  Gone is Alex Smith and the time is now for Patrick Mahomes.  Andy Reid is no stranger to quarterback talent and he convinced management to move up in last year’s draft to take the Kansas City Native Mahomes.  Andy Reid is a consistent winner in this league and one of the best offensive minds the NFL has ever seen.  There is no doubt that Andy Reid believes in the talent of this strong armed and athletic phenom.  Despite having a first year starter QB, the Chiefs are still favored to win their division and this should be a team that all fantasy players want to have a piece of.



Patrick Mahomes II has an arm that is drawing comparisons to Brett Favre, Jonn Elway, Aaron Rodgers, etc.  He will start week 1, possibly having the strongest arm in the league.  His dad was a professional baseball player and Tyreek Hill says that he has never caught a pass that whistled until he played catch with Patrick Mahomes.  Last year, Alex Smith was able to throw for over 4000 yards in this offense.  This year the Chiefs add Sammy Watkins.  Currently Mahomes is going at pick #105, QB 15, which is far too late for a guy with his skills and situation.  This guy has the athleticism, arm, and talent to be a difference maker and potentially win fantasy championships. He is a huge value at his current ADP.




Kareem Hunt is another guy not getting the love that he deserves.  After leading the league in rushing last year and winning rookie of the year, one has to wonder, “what else does a guy have to do?”  He enters this year as a NFL star, he is the clear cut starter in an Andy Reid offense that ALWAYS produces fantasy stars.  Still, fantasy owners expect a slump from Hunt because of the return of a healthy Spencer Ware.  If Hunt has any issues running the ball this year it will be due to play of his center and left guard, not the play of Spencer Ware.  Draft Kareem Hunt in the first round with confidence.  It’s a shame that his name isn’t mentioned with the David Johnsons and Ezekiel Elliotts of the world.  



The Chiefs added the sure handed and often injured Sammy Watkins to play in the slot.  They gave him 50 million dollars to do it and he is currently being drafted with an ADP of #74.  Watkins in the 7th round would feel like a value compared to having to draft Tyreek Hill in the 2nd round.  Hill was in the perfect situation with Alex Smith last year and there is no guarantee that Hill will share the same connection with Mahomes.  Also, Watkins, Kelce, and Hunt are sure to dig into his target share this season.  It should be mentioned that Hill is a freakish talent who led the NFL in yards per reception by a long shot last season.  Also, he possesses higher upside than almost any other player in the league thanks to his game changing speed.  However, it feels too early to draft a player with increased competition for targets playing with a rookie QB.  I would take Sam in the 7th and pass on Hill in the early 3rd



There is a case to be made for Travis Kelce going as the first TE off the board.  Over the last two seasons, Kelce has out produced Gronkowski in several statistics.  Granted, a lot of this is because Gronkowski can’t stay on the field, but seriously though, do we have any reason to believe this trend won’t continue?  Kelce catches far more balls than Gronk and this should be considered if you’re playing in a PPR format, but Gronk catches the TD’s and the deep passes.  Gronk is a player than can win you your week or your league and Kelce is consistent producer on a winning team.  The upside of Gronkowski still gives him a slight edge over Kelce as the top TE in football

Take Away’s 

The fantasy impact of players like Kelce, Hunt, Watkins, and Hill rest on the strong right arm of Patrick Mahomes.  

Andy Reid believes in Mahomes, Vegas believes in Mahomes, and you should too.  The upside of what this kid can do makes all of the fantasy options values at their current ADP with the exception of Tyreek Hill.  

The Los Angeles Chargers Team Preview by Garret Grev

The San Diego Chargers…sorry. This is going to take a couple years. Ahem. 


The Los Angeles Chargers didn’t have a great 2017 season. They got off to a rough start. The best thing to come out of their first four games was more GIF material thanks to quarterback Phillip Rivers’s facial expressions. I’d like to personally thank Phil for providing me the perfect material to send to co-workers when I’m annoyed, frustrated, or let down by other’s performance or messed up situations. 


Going 0-4, with a less than packed stadium, was not exactly the start the franchise was looking for upon relocation. There may have been a little solace in the fact that three of those games came down to a field goal or less, but a loss is a loss is a loss. The Chargers got their stuff together eventually, but it was too little too late as far as the playoffs were concerned. They wrapped the season at 9-7, but their divisional record kept them home watching other teams from the AFC play in their place in December. 


So why, pray tell, have NFL experts and our own Nick Busch been so bearish on the Chargers for 2018? Simply put, they are a better team than their last season record would leave you to believe. The team won the 6 of their 7 last games. Veteran QB Rivers had a particularly strong campaign for fantasy, tying Tom Brady and Russ Wilson for percentage of top 12 finishes at the position. The have a strong o-line that projects to improve in 2018. Vegas loves them for the division and, as evidenced by Nick, they are on more than a few prediction lists for the Super Bowl. 



Philip Rivers enters his 14th NFL season as the 12th QB getting taken off the board with an ADP in the 120’s. In a world where the top quarterbacks get taken off the board IN THE THIRD ROUND this simply should not be possible. We already mentioned his consistency last season sharing the most consistent QB1 honors with Brady and Wilson who are going in the 6th and 5th rounds respectively. Rivers is a fantastic late round QB option and, just like Big Ben, he’s a perfect example why you need to wait on quarterback. Odds are Melvin Gordon gets more involved in the pass game but we would have rather seen the targets going to a health Hunter Henry from a scoring standpoint for Rivers. 


Running Back

You might remember Austin Ekeler, the change of pace back who was starting to hit his stride before breaking his hand late in the season. Fine, but are familiar with Justin Jackson or Russell Hansbrough? Yeah, we thought so. 


Melvin Gordon is going to be the only show in town for the Chargers,  making him worth his late first round draft day price tag. Gordon has paid off big for his fantasy owners in each of the last two seasons, finishing as a top 6 back in PPR leagues. He is a volume monster and gets top 5 level touches per game while staying on the field for the vast majority of the teams offensive plays. Gordon is a back with no real competition at his position, making him a trust worthy option and a good example of avoiding risk in the first round. 


Ekeler will again serve as a change of pace back and probably get some 3rd down work, but doesn’t present a challenge to Gordon anywhere near the level of making this a timeshare situation. The other RB’s on the squad are purely depth plays barring injury.


Wide Receiver

So…how about that Keenan Allen? Allen finally played his first full season in his entire career in 2017. More impressively, he caught 100 balls and ended the year as the WR3. They crazy thing about this is he only scored 6 touchdowns! That’s a number we expect Allen to improve upon in the upcoming campaign. Players need to remember that the first half of the season last year was fairly mediocre, but the Chargers figured out what to do with Allen and defenses had a very hard time covering him through the back half. Impressive stuff. With a price tag in the first half of round two we say go grab Keenan Allen. 


Mike Williams was a top pick in last year’s NFL draft but he never had the chance to pay off for the team due to a back injury. Williams is healthy for his sophomore debut and will almost assuredly be much more involved. Williams is also probably going to get more looks in the red zone, when involved, due to Hunter Henry’s absence. 


The same can be said of Tyrell Williams, probably more so than Mike. Tyrell had a solid 2016 season filling an expanded role with Keenan Allen was injured. Unless you owned him that year you probably don’t realize that he finished as a top end WR2. Also like Mike, he was a top First Round NFL draft pick, and in his third year in the league, it’s a fair bet that the Chargers will be looking to get him involved as it relates to their future plans. 


We expect this ball to stay fully in Allen’s court, with this wide receiver corps brothers looked at WR4 type numbers. 


Tight End 

Well, it’s officially the worst kept secret in the NFL that Antonio Gates will resign with the team and continue his hall of fame career. Not many site's get that kind of inside information straight from Gate's supposed agent at the gym (see episode 3 of the podcast for me details!) Until that’s official, the lead Tight End in this offense is former Bronco Virgil Green. Green has never been a standout TE, and he’s never scored more than two touchdowns in a single season. Unless Gates is brought back from retirement as expected, you’d be best to avoid the position with this team. 


Take Away’s 

Phillip Rivers in a great late round QB and exactly the type of player we target when waiting on the position. 

Melvin Gordon is consistent producer and his inefficient YPC should scare you away

Keenan Allen is a wider receiver you want on your team.