Fantasy Football

Eric Holzmann's Draft Day Dudes

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Greetings WATO Readers! We have an extra special last-minute Fantasy Football Draft Weekend article from our good friend Eric Holzmann from the Mann Up! Sports Show! Check out Eric’s Draft Day Dudes. It’s 1 part values, 1 part sleepers, 1 part breakouts, and 100% Fantasy Football fun!

2019 Draft Day Dudes by Eric Holzmann

 On the fence about some players?  Do you wait until the late rounds to draft a quarterback?  New to your league and wanna surprise everyone with your vast knowledge of fantasy football?  Well…  here are some candidates who might not be talked about much but who could turn out to have excellent fantasy seasons. 

 

 

Quarterbacks:

 

  1. Derek Carr (ADP: #174 overall) – The Raiders did a good job this offseason of adding quality playmakers around Carr, specifically Antonio Brown, who after having frostbitten feet and a helmet issue has returned to the Raiders training camp. The additions of Brown, Tyrell Williams, and rookies Hunter Renfrow and first round pick Josh Jacobs gives Carr the best set of skill position players he’s ever had. Add to that the Raiders defense being trash and Carr should have plenty of opportunities to throw the ball. I fully expect Carr to throw for 4000 yards and about 30 TD’s this season, and that is more than good enough for a late round pick.

 

  1. Jimmy Garoppolo (ADP: #166 overall)– Garoppolo had thrown for 5 TD’s and 3 INT’s before going down with the ACL injury and missing the season, but he is back this year with added weapons in the offense. RB Tevin Coleman and rookie WR Deebo Samuel should add some much-needed life to a 49ers offense that has stud TE George Kittle and little else. Assuming Garoppolo has no side effects from the knee, I think drafting him in the 10th or 11th round is excellent value.

 

Running Backs:

 

  1. Derrick Henry (ADP: #39 overall) – I know some of you might be saying “Didn’t he breakout last year?” Well… kinda. Over his last 4 games he averaged 146 ypg and ran for 7 TD’s for an average of 25.75 fantasy points per game, but before that he didn’t do much at all. That being said, Henry is expected to carry the load this year for a team that is going to run the ball a whole lot. His ADP right now is the end of the 3rd round that makes him the 20th best fantasy RB. I am here to tell you that’s ridiculous and he will be a top 10 fantasy RB by the end of this year.

 

  1. Aaron Jones (ADP: #33 overall) – It’s pretty amazing to me that Jones didn’t see a steady dose of carries for the Packers last year once he was healthy, because he is by far and away their best RB. He averaged 5.5 ypc in the 12 games he played, and as Aaron Rodgers ages he is going to need to rely on his RB’s more. He also improved greatly as a pass catcher, something that was considered a knock on his game. He is currently going in the 3rd round, which is good value, but it’s not crazy to think we could be drafting Jones in the late first next season.

 

Wide Receivers :

 

  1. Curtis Samuel (ADP: #95) – Everyone seems to love Samuel’s teammate D.J. Moore, as he is being drafted higher, but give me Samuel, who outperformed Moore last year. New coach Norv Turner has raved about Samuel in camp, calling him a superb route runner. Add to that the Panthers have the 7th easiest schedule for WR’s, and I only expect that to go up in Turner’s offense. He’s currently being picked in the 8th round.

 

  1. Mike Williams (ADP: #61) – After being picked with the 7th overall selection of the 2017 NFL Draft, Williams missed the bulk of his rookie year and was a bit of a question mark coming into last season. Well… question answered. Williams posted an excellent season, catching 43 passes for 664 yards and an impressive 10 TD’s. While Keenan Allen is still the guy to pick on the Chargers, Williams is poised to get more work with the departure of Tyrell Williams to Oakland. I think people are nuts letting him last until the late 5th round/early 6th round behind guys like Dede Westbrook, D.J. Moore, Kenny Golloday, and Tyler Lockett. I look for Williams to explode this season and be a top 15 fantasy WR by the end of the season.

 

Tight Ends:

 

  1. Chris Herndon (ADP: 202) – One of the bright spots coming out of last season for the Jets was the development of Herndon into a legitimate threat in the passing game. He is going to miss the first 4 games, but Herndon and Sam Darnold have developed an excellent rapport. He caught 56 passes for 502 yards last year and 4 TD’s, but that could jump even higher with the red zone attention LeVeon Bell will be attracting. Herndon is currently going very late in drafts, and in some cases, undrafted, but I think that has more to do with the suspension than production. If you can draft and stash him, you’ll be happy you did.

 

  1. O.J. Howard (ADP: 57) – The former first round pick had a very good season last year before injuries derailed it. In 11 games he caught 34 passes for 565 yards and 5 TD’s, and that was with shaky QB play. With Bruce Arians around I fully expect improvement from QB Jameis Winston and increased production from a healthy Howard. A talent like this could improve to become one of the top TE’s in the league. I see him making the Big 3 TE’s a Big 4 by the end of the year.

 

 

Rookie Wide Receivers 2019

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My kid was supposed to have a double header today, but the host team canceled because “they have a lot of players out of town”.  What is this ‘everyone gets a trophy’ excuse? It wasn’t raining, it wasn’t snowing (that’s a possibility in June for Minnesota)…..yet the head coach used players being “out of town” to cancel this match that was already rained out the first time it was scheduled That’s like walking into a fantasy draft and picking Davante Parker in any round! DO BETTER PREP WORK!

So where are you at in your prep for the new year? If you have been in the same boat as most busy fantasy parents, you probably have a lot of catching up to do. Never fear, WATO is hear!

I’m going to hit on the most popular WRs that are being drafted and give you some June thoughts for now. Yeah, yeah, yeah, we have all heard the narrative that rookie WRs won’t produce but I think there are a few gems to be had this year!!

So, what rookie WRs am I looking at? It’s a short list but these are some guys you should look at late. Why do I say late? Well I will be honest, even though these rookies are super talented, the move to the NFL can still be difficult for first year players. With that said, these guys could still produce for you THIS year if you are willing to take a flier!

Mecole Hardman, Chiefs, ADP 9th round

A second round pick for the Chiefs in 2019.  With the Tyreek Hill situation up in the air, it looks like Hardman would be the best suited to fill the Hill role. If this is the case, I expect his ADP to sky rocket if Hill is suspended. If Hardman still sits in the 9th round when you are drafting, I love the upside that could be there. However, I wouldn’t look for Hardman any earlier because it is no lock that he is the guy to replace Hill.

N’Keal Harry, Patriots, ADP 8th round

No Gronk, no Hogan??? All these targets ready to be distributed to whoever steps into a role for the Pats!!! Not great news coming out of OTA’s for Harry, but there is still plenty of time for him to pick up the offense.  The 8th round seems a little rich for me, but I would take him over Hardman if he fell the the 9th. Pats offense isn’t easy for any WR to pick up, but Harry has the upside and the talent to make it happen.

D.K. Metcalf, Seahawks, ADP 9th round

I’m the most excited for Metcalf as I feel he has the biggest opportunity to shine. Wilson raved about the rookie in OTA’s, calling him a special player. Doug Baldwin is gone and its clear the Seahawks need another go-to WR! The 9th round is a great spot for him, but I expect that to rise if he shines in camp.

A.J Brown, Titans, ADP 16th round

Is there a WR that can possibly take away the greatness of Corey Davis? I say that sarcastically, because anyone should be able to pull that off. I like Brown’s talent, but I feel he landed in a terrible spot to showcase his talent. I’m not drafting him this year and I would let someone else take on that hurry up and wait mentality.

Deebo Samuel, 49ers, ADP 14th Round

Deebo Samuel in the 14th? Love it! Jimmy is back for the Niners and this guy is moving into a great spot! Garcon is gone and Samuel will move into the slot. I love the upside and if you are able to take a flier on this guy in the 14th, then do it!!!

Marquise Brown, Ravens, ADP 13th Round

I like the talent of Brown, but I think he also landed in a terrible offense.  The Ravens will run the ball and it will be difficult for any of their WRs to be fantasy relevant. Let someone else take him!!!

Parris Campbell, Colts, ADP 12th Round

Who doesn’t want a piece of the Colts offense with Luck at the helm? Campbell is a stud, and I don’t think the Colts did enough to improve their defense to stay in games. What does that mean? Well there will be plenty of points to be had!!!!! The 12th round is solid to take a shot on Campbell, so feel free!!!

Andy Isabella, Cardinals, ADP 14th Round

News came out this week that Isabella will be the WR3 on the team! This is great news for the rookie and with an ADP in the 14th round, there is some upside to be had! Still I would temper expectations as there hasn’t been a WR for the Cards that has produced in sometime other than Fitz. We love the upside with Kirk this season, but he wasn’t a relevant rookie last season so take note of that and don’t reach for Isabella!

Pittsburgh Steelers Team Preview by Garret Grev

Pittsburgh Steelers  Team Preview by Garret Grev

Well, I started to pull this article together last week. At the time I was thinking that there wouldn’t be too much exciting to write about for the Steelers in 2018. The Steelers are riding high after finishing 13-3 in the regular season, their best finish since 2004.  There was going to be great continuity between last season and the upcoming one. Most of the big names were coming back, aside from an Offensive Coordinator who needed to move on and a big talented distraction at Wide Receiver. They’ll have a top 10 offensive line again this season. Everyone expects this offense to produce and for the team to have another solid outing. No major surprises. All that changed with the confirmation on 07/16 that star running back Le’Veon Bell and the team were unable to reach an agreement on a long term deal for last year’s overall RB2.

Cincinnati Bengals Preview by Matt Higgins

Cincinnati Bengals Preview by Matt Higgins

At 10:51 AM I set an alarm for 11:15 just in case I fell asleep writing about the Cincinnati Bengals Offense.  Vegas has them as 100:1 to win the Super Bowl, and with interest rates rising, and a looming trade war it almost makes me want to mortgage my house and make that easy 1%.  The team returns in 2018 relatively unchanged.  I would have enjoyed seeing the Marvin Lewis fist bump when he found out they were going to bring him back for another two seasons.  The average bank robbery nets $1,859.  Marvin Lewis just got 6.5 MILLION dollars for the next two years of his precious time.